Thursday, October 25, 2007

A Colorado Rockies Win Could Spell A Loss For Conservative Politics

Ok, the title of this post is abit dramatic. Needed to make a point though.

Representative Tom Tancredo has announced that he will announce his decision on whether to run for Colorado's Sixth Congressional District the day after the World Series ends. While Tancredo could go either way with his decision, many fear that he will decide not to seek another term in Congress. That being the case, is there a way we can convince Rockies skipper Clint Hurdle to not win the final series clinching game until after the November 2008 election?

Yes, it would be the longest game in World Series history. A game that lasted over a year and if my math is correct would be somewhere around 26,208 innings long. We're talking about the Rockies though, they can get an RBI whenever they want and defensively speaking Troy Tulowitzki could probably handle the fielding by himself.

It is possible.

It also would also be well worth it to keep a conservative hero like Tom Tancredo in office. Tom has single handedly brought the issue of immigration to the forefront of politics. With the exception of perhaps Ron Paul no other representative sparks enthusiasm among hard line conservatives the way Tom Tancredo does. You name the issue and I guarantee you Tancredo is on the right side of it.

While those in line to fill the 6th would make great members of Congress, it will be abit disheartening to see someone like Tancredo leave us(at least for the time being).

Congressman Tancredo we salute you and while we are eager for the Rockies to bring home that World Series trophy, I for one would be willing to wait just abit longer to get it.

From Roll Call (only those with subscriptions can view the article online)

Tancredo's Decision
He’ll Reveal Re-election Plans at the Conclusion of the World Series

By David M. Drucker
Roll Call Staff

Play Ball! While most of Colorado surely is preoccupied with the Colorado Rockies’ first World Series appearance, a subset of fans located in the Centennial State’s 6th district probably is anticipating Major League Baseball’s main event for another reason.

Rep. Tom Tancredo (R), who is in the midst of a long-shot presidential bid, will announce the day after the Series ends whether he will run for re-election to his House seat. His retirement could ignite a heated GOP primary in the solidly Republican 6th district between state Sens. Ted Harvey and Tom Wiens and small-business man Wil Armstrong, the son of former Sen. Bill Armstrong (R-Colo.).

Tancredo spokesman T.Q. Houlton confirmed this week that his boss would reveal his 2008 plans the day after the last Rockies game. That could come as soon as Monday, should either the Rockies or the Boston Red Sox sweep the best-of-seven series, which was scheduled to begin Wednesday night after Roll Call went to press.

The first two games were scheduled to be played in Boston, with games three and four scheduled for Saturday and Sunday in Denver.

“People very close to him don’t think he’s going to run,” said one knowledgeable Colorado Republican. “But I still have a hard time thinking he’s going to walk away from everything.”

While stoking his White House ambitions for the past several months, Tancredo has long eyed the 2010 Senate race and a potential matchup against Sen. Ken Salazar (D). Many Colorado insiders have speculated that Tancredo will run for Senate in 2010, retaining his House seat until then.

The younger Armstrong said Wednesday that he is giving serious consideration to running for the 6th district GOP nomination in 2008 — but only if Tancredo retires at the end of his current term, his fifth in the House.

“I care what’s going on in our district and our state and our country, and if he chooses not to run again I will think very hard about it. I’m leaning that way,” Armstrong said. “But frankly, if he stays as my Congressman, I’d be thrilled. He’s done a great job and I have lot of admiration for him.”

Armstrong, Harvey and Wiens each would make a strong candidate, according to Republican strategists, although each has a potential downside. Colorado Secretary of State Mike Coffman (R) also is seen as a formidable candidate, but GOP activists would prefer he hold off running until 2010, as Gov. Bill Ritter (D) presumably would appoint a Democrat to replace him if he ran for Congress next year and won.

Tancredo mostly is known for his ardent opposition to illegal immigration and his work in Congress to overhaul federal immigration law. Tancredo’s outspokenness on the matter has helped him build a national public profile, and his supporters credit him for the fact that addressing illegal immigration has become a major campaign issue in the presidential race and in many Congressional contests.

Strident remarks Tancredo has made on other subjects — including that dropping a nuclear bomb on Mecca in Saudi Arabia should be a military option in the war on terror — have added to his run of national publicity.

However, Colorado Republicans note that he remains beloved in his district, and they contend that he is known for more than illegal immigration back home. Republicans there say his support for education reform and his opposition to wasteful government spending has earned him a reputation for being a reliable conservative on issues important to Republican voters.

Like Armstrong, Harvey is interested in running for Congress if Tancredo retires. Harvey said most political activists in the district place the odds of Tancredo running again at 50-50, although they are beginning to believe more and more that he will seek a sixth term.

If Tancredo does retire, Harvey predicted a crowded and competitive GOP primary to replace him, as the district leans heavily Republican and the winner of the intraparty contest likely would cruise to victory in the general election. Tancredo’s worst performance since ascending to the House in 1998 occurred in 2000, when he won re-election with 54 percent of the vote.

President Bush won the suburban Denver 6th district with 60 percent of the vote in 2000 and 2004.

“I think the primary will be a highly contested race,” Harvey said.

Harvey said he would wait for Tancredo’s decision before figuring out his own plans. The state Senator has two young children, ages 7 and 10, and he said that definitely would factor into his decision.

Wiens could not be reached for comment on Wednesday.

The state Senate districts held by Harvey and Wiens include separate though significant chunks of the 6th Congressional district. That could give each of them an advantage over other potential primary candidates, although their support does not extend outside of their legislative seats.

Armstrong’s father, the former Senator, is still revered by Colorado Republicans, and that could help the small-business man should he run for Congress. However, he would have to overcome the notion that he is trying to win a political office on his father’s coattails.

“Ted [Harvey] and Tom [Wiens] both are very serious, legitimate candidates,” the knowledgeable Colorado Republican said. “But I think Wil [Armstrong] is the intriguing wild card that could surprise a lot of people. I don’t think there’s a frontrunner in it.”


Educator-To-Be said...

You have a great blog, and I enjoy reading it very much. Amy

Anonymous said...

There’s a strong feeling inside the the Republican Party that Coffman’s running would really hurt the GOP since the Democrat Gov Ritter will appoint his replacement as SoS. Coffman may not care because the GOP has done him no favors, but the activists are very much against him running. Coffman has hired Phaseline Strategies (Sean Tonner) as a general consultant, which will help with a primary. However, Tonner’s close ties to former Governor Bill Owens won’t help with GOP activists, and CO is a caucus state. On the plus side, Coffman is the only statewide GOP official that won in 2006 in a year that saw the Dems sweep the field in Colorado; he’s an Iraq war vet, having taken a leave of absence from Treasurer to help run elections in Iraq.

There was something strange about that though. Coffman was running for Governor (and stood a good chance of winning) when all of a sudden he bowed out and left for Iraq. Some have assumed that Governor Owens had naked pictures of him with sheep or something: Owens, the story goes, told him to let his boy Bob Beauprez run and if Coffman was a good boy they’d help him run in the future. The Tonner hiring tends to confirm it this story. It won’t help Coffman much with the activists. They’ll look at him as sold out. They’ll wonder if it means Coffman will endorse Owens when Owens tries his political rehabilitation in a run for Senate. The answer is probably yes.

And it will bring the number of political lives ruined by association with Owens to five. Bob Schaffer, Pete Coors, Mark Hillman and Bob Beauprez have all been hurt by Owens. In Schaffer’s case it was because Owens opposed him, but the rest made deals with Owens that killed them politically. If you wonder about the state of Colorado GOP politics you only have to look at the lives ruined by Owens to get the picture of why we are weak. The only way Coffman survives is if he runs unopposed.

As to Will Armstrong, he has not done much in politics and some think Bill Armstrong’s day has come and gone. There’s a considerable portion of voters in Colorado that have no memory of Senator Bill Armstrong. However the Armstrong family does have the money and anyone who can come up with a million bucks or two is a legitimate candidate. But one would have to see how Will does campaigning first before evaluating how legitimate a candidate he is.

Harvey is a first term Senator that just won his seat in 2006. It was the only contested election that he has run in despite being in the legislature for over six years. His numbers were good in the Senate election, but he faced kind of weak opposition in a political newcomer and he benefited from endorsements from Tancredo and House Minority Leader Mike May (who also lives in Douglas County and who appointed Harvey his Asst minority leader during the primary to puff him). Harvey will not have these advantages in a run for Congress. This time he’ll be on his own, kind of.

Harvey’s campaign advisors will be the same Christian rightists that have messed up Congressman Doug Lamborn’s rather bright prospects. This will include the Hotaling brothers. Mutt and Jeff are their names. Lamborn almost lost his primary fight last time around because of some questionable advertising by this group. He may even lose this time around. That’s saying a lot about a sitting congressman, even if a freshman. One political web site opined that you’d almost have to try to raise as little money as Lamborn has in his reelection bid.

The Hotaling’s will run a Harvey campaign that will include fundraising letters sent by semi-fictitious organizations like “Coloradoans Against Gun Control” that will rail against the other candidates who didn’t return surveys saying they were against gun control. For the most part these organizations will be drop-box operations controlled by the Hotaling brothers. Where the money will come from to pay for it is the interesting question. Harvey may have survived this type of thing during a state Senate campaign, but in a congressional race the lights will be much brighter. Harvey will melt. As one political consultant said: “Harvey will try to campaign by saying the other candidates aren’t conservative enough. He’ll try to create daylight between himself and others on issues. The only daylight he’ll expose is the daylight shining out of each of his ears.”

Assuming Wiens runs, he should be the favorite. Although his senate district doesn’t cover all of the 6th Congressional, he’s well-known in the district. He was the GOP nominee for State Treasurer and lost narrowly to Roy Romer. He also lost a narrow congressional race in the general election for a Democrat Western-slope district. He knows how to win GOP primaries. He has more money than any candidate, plus he knows how to raise lots of cash. His rolodex is a Who’s Who of Colorado contributors. He recently raised over $700,000 in a single night for Children’s Hospital by hosting a fundraiser at his picturesque ranch in Sedalia, Colorado. He has no voting record to attack, being a conservative thought leader and right on the issues as far as the GOP is concerned. The only thing they’ll attack is some rather lose allegations about financial improprieties made by folks who mismanaged $5 million for him in 2001, got fired for doing so and then sued him. These folks were hoping Wiens would settle the case, because at the time Wiens was running for State House and they thought it would embarrass him. Wiens told them to stick it. The case was litigated and the courts found in favor of Wiens.

So in this order it’s: Wiens, Coffman, Armstrong, Harvey. Plus one or two like Nancy Spence who think the conservatives will beat each other up and leave the liberal to scoop up the prize.

Anonymous said...

Good day, sun shines!
There have were times of troubles when I didn't know about opportunities of getting high yields on investments. I was a dump and downright stupid person.
I have never thought that there weren't any need in big starting capital.
Now, I'm happy and lucky , I started to get real money.
It gets down to choose a correct companion who uses your funds in a right way - that is incorporate it in real business, and shares the income with me.

You may ask, if there are such firms? I have to answer the truth, YES, there are. Please be informed of one of them: [url=]Online Investment Blog[/url]

Anonymous said...

Glad to materialize here. Good day or night everybody!

For sure you didn’t here about me yet,
friends call me James F. Collins.
Generally I’m a venturesome analyst. for a long time I’m keen on online-casino and poker.
Not long time ago I started my own blog, where I describe my virtual adventures.
Probably, it will be interesting for you to find out my particular opinion on famous gambling projects.
Please visit my blog. I’ll be interested on your opinion..

Phyliss said...

I completely agree with the post.